利率与黄金价格同时上涨背后的涵义

21 Oct, 2020
Category: Financials
Tags: Portfolio

利率与黄金如何影响投资的布局


大部分的情况下,黄金价格和利率是反向的。当利率走高,黄金价格会走低;当利率走低,黄金价格会走高。

当市场利率走低,黄金价格也跟着走低,这种情况会发生在市场对未来的经济前景感到悲观,同时伴随而来的是通货紧缩。

而当利率走高,黄金价格走高,则预示市场风险正在提高,同时,通货膨胀的时代即将来临。

过去几个月,各大中央银行印了这么多钱,照例来说利率水平应该很低。然而,美国10年期利率却在近期创逐步走高,黄金也在向上突破。这一切的价格走向都在预测,我们未来将会面临的是一个通货膨胀的环境。过去,当通货膨胀来临时,美联储还会采取一些措施。然而,这次美联储已经放话,说明会让高通彭维持一阵子,以达成充分就业的目标。

在高通货膨胀的环境下,投资大宗商品或者是重资产的公司,投资收益会比一般公司来的更好。由于现金流折现的关系,科技股则会表现不佳。


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