Thucydides Trap
Thucydides's Trap is the dangerous dynamic that occurs when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power.
Thucydides Trap – When the established power feels the threat
【Thucydides Trap】: When a rising power causes fear in an established power, a war is inevitable.
Throughout the modern history, only the US and UK had managed to avoid a war.
As China pursues no adventurist policy against the US there is therefore no indication the US population is willing to make the sacrifices required for a Thucydides’ type struggle against China. The stronger is China the greater the sacrifices the US population would have to make to engage in a Thucydides confrontation and therefore the less willing they are to tolerate it. Any view China’s strength provokes the US is the opposite of the truth. It is China’s weakness which would allow the US to move towards a Thucydides trap confrontation.
With the souring US-China relationship and US Dollar hegemony under threat, will this conflict escalate or being resolved peacefully?
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